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Technical Feasibility Summary

Ocean-Based sCO2 Cooling for Hyperscale Data Centers

Document ID: CCNL-TFS-2025-01 | Version: 1.0 | Date: December 2025

Purpose: Executive summary for engineering review and validation


1. Concept Overview

A closed-loop supercritical CO2 (sCO2) cooling system using cold ocean water (2-4°C) from the Labrador Current to reject 100 MW of thermal load from a shore-based data center.

┌─────────────────────┐
│   DATA CENTER       │
│   (100 MW IT load)  │
│         │           │
│    ┌────┴────┐      │
│    │ Primary │      │      SHORE
│    │   HX    │      │      ─────────────────────
└────┴────┬────┴──────┘
    ┌─────┴─────┐              SEABED
    │  16 pipes │              (200-400m depth)
    │  500mm    ├──────────────────────────┐
    │  sCO2     │     5 km out             │
    └───────────┘                    ┌─────┴─────┐
                                     │ Heat      │
                                     │ rejection │
                                     │ to 3°C    │
    ┌───────────┐     5 km return    │ seawater  │
    │  Return   │◄───────────────────┴───────────┘
    └─────┬─────┘
      To pumps

Key differentiator: Servers remain on shore (accessible for GPU upgrades) while benefiting from passive ocean cooling - avoiding the serviceability limitation that caused Microsoft to discontinue Project Natick.


2. Critical Design Parameters

Parameter Value Basis
Cooling capacity 100 MW Hyperscale AI data center
Working fluid Supercritical CO2 85 bar, 10-40°C
Ocean temperature 3°C Labrador Current at 200m depth
Pipe configuration 16 × 500mm steel-core Parallel redundancy
Loop length 10 km 5 km out, 5 km return
Mass flow rate 1,111 kg/s ΔT = 30°C, Cp = 3.0 kJ/kg·K
Pumping power 200 kW COP = 500
PUE contribution 0.002 vs 0.18-0.25 for chillers

3. Heat Transfer Analysis

3.1 Why sCO2?

Property Water sCO2 (85 bar) Advantage
Viscosity 1.0 mPa·s 0.05 mPa·s 20x lower pumping energy
Density 1,000 kg/m³ 600 kg/m³ Reduced pipe stress
Heat transfer coef. 5,000 W/m²·K 12,000 W/m²·K 2.4x better
Freeze point 0°C N/A at pressure No antifreeze needed

3.2 Heat Transfer Calculation

Limiting factor: Seawater-side natural convection (ho ≈ 500 W/m²·K)

Solution: External longitudinal fins (8 per pipe, 50mm height) - Surface area enhancement: 3× - Effective U-value: 24 W/m²·K

Required heat transfer area:

LMTD = ((40-3) - (10-3)) / ln(37/7) = 18.0°C

A = Q / (U × LMTD)
A = 100 MW / (24 W/m²·K × 18 K) = 231,500 m²

Provided: 16 × π × 0.5m × 10,000m = 251,000 m² ✓ (8% margin)

3.3 Pressure Drop

ΔP = f × (L/D) × (ρv²/2)
ΔP = 0.01 × (10,000/0.4) × (600 × 0.79²/2)
ΔP = 0.47 bar (acceptable)

4. Pipe Design

4.1 Construction

Layer Material Thickness Function
Inner liner HDPE 10 mm Corrosion barrier
Pressure core Carbon steel (API 5L X52) 25 mm 100 bar containment
External fins Carbon steel 3mm × 50mm Heat transfer
Outer coating Fusion-bonded epoxy 0.5 mm Corrosion protection

4.2 Pressure Verification

Hoop stress: σ = P × D / (2 × t)
           = 10 MPa × 500mm / (2 × 25mm)
           = 100 MPa

Steel yield (X52): 360 MPa
Safety factor: 3.6 ✓

4.3 Redundancy

  • 16 parallel pipes allows continued operation if 4 pipes fail
  • N+4 redundancy provides 99.9999% availability for pipe system
  • Can isolate individual pipes for maintenance

5. Key Technical Risks

Risk Probability Impact Mitigation
sCO2 leak (onshore) Low Medium CO2 detection, ventilation, auto-shutdown
Pipe failure (subsea) Very Low Medium Redundancy, fiber optic DTS monitoring
Seawater-side biofouling Low Low Closed loop eliminates internal fouling
Pump failure Medium Low N+1 pumps, VFD control
High ocean temperature Very Low Low Design for 5°C max, 2°C margin

Critical unknowns requiring validation:

  1. Fin efficiency in natural convection at seabed conditions
  2. Long-term steel/epoxy coating integrity at 200-400m depth
  3. sCO2 pump reliability at 85 bar continuous operation
  4. Installation feasibility for finned pipe (handling, burial)

6. Cost Summary

6.1 Capital Cost

Item Cost ($M)
Ocean piping (160 km) 56.0
Marine installation 18.0
Heat exchangers 8.0
Engineering & contingency 29.0
Other 16.0
Total 127.0

Unit cost: $1,270/kW cooling capacity

6.2 Operating Cost

Item Annual ($M)
Electricity (pumping) 0.12
Maintenance 2.5
Insurance & inspections 1.7
Total 4.4

6.3 Comparison to Alternatives

System CAPEX Annual Energy 10-Year TCO
Air-cooled chiller $60M $15M $210M
Water-cooled chiller $70M $11M $180M
Ocean sCO2 $127M $0.1M $171M

Ocean sCO2 breaks even at year 6-8, then saves $10-15M annually.


7. Technology Readiness

Component TRL Notes
sCO2 as working fluid 7 Proven in power cycle pilots
Subsea steel pipelines 9 Oil & gas standard
Shell & tube HX (Ti) 9 Industrial standard
Finned subsea pipe 5 Novel application
Integrated system 4 Requires pilot demonstration

Recommendation: Conduct 1-5 MW pilot to validate system integration before committing to 100 MW build.


8. Comparison to Precedents

Project Approach Result Lesson for CCNL
Microsoft Natick Sealed underwater capsule 8× lower failures, PUE 1.07 Thermal performance validated
Discontinued 2024 Serviceability matters
SWAC French Polynesia Open-loop cold seawater SCOP 25-26, operational Deep cold water works
China Highlander Underwater capsules PUE 1.1, scaling up Commercial viability proven
Oil & gas pipelines sCO2 for EOR 8,000+ km installed Pipe technology mature

CCNL advantage: Combines proven elements (shore-based DC, subsea pipes, cold water) in novel configuration that addresses limitations of prior approaches.


9. Validation Requirements

Before proceeding to full-scale, validate:

9.1 Desktop Studies

  • Third-party thermal model verification
  • Detailed FEED study by marine engineering firm
  • sCO2 pump vendor engagement (Flowserve, Sulzer)

9.2 Physical Testing

  • Finned pipe heat transfer testing in seawater tank
  • sCO2 circulation loop (lab scale, 10-100 kW)
  • Coating durability testing (accelerated marine exposure)

9.3 Pilot Project

  • 1-5 MW demonstration system
  • 12-month operational validation
  • Performance vs model comparison

10. Conclusion

The ocean sCO2 cooling concept is technically feasible based on:

  1. Proven components: Subsea pipelines, sCO2 handling, shell & tube HX
  2. Favorable physics: 10-40°C sCO2 vs 3°C ocean = large LMTD
  3. Economic advantage: 50-100× lower pumping energy than chillers
  4. Environmental benefit: Zero water consumption, no thermal plume

Key uncertainties center on: 1. Finned pipe performance and installation 2. System integration at scale 3. Long-term reliability

Recommended next step: Commission third-party engineering review followed by 1-5 MW pilot project.


CCNL-TFS-2025-01 v1.0