Technical Feasibility Summary¶
Ocean-Based sCO2 Cooling for Hyperscale Data Centers¶
Document ID: CCNL-TFS-2025-01 | Version: 1.0 | Date: December 2025
Purpose: Executive summary for engineering review and validation
1. Concept Overview¶
A closed-loop supercritical CO2 (sCO2) cooling system using cold ocean water (2-4°C) from the Labrador Current to reject 100 MW of thermal load from a shore-based data center.
┌─────────────────────┐
│ DATA CENTER │
│ (100 MW IT load) │
│ │ │
│ ┌────┴────┐ │
│ │ Primary │ │ SHORE
│ │ HX │ │ ─────────────────────
└────┴────┬────┴──────┘
│
┌─────┴─────┐ SEABED
│ 16 pipes │ (200-400m depth)
│ 500mm ├──────────────────────────┐
│ sCO2 │ 5 km out │
└───────────┘ ┌─────┴─────┐
│ Heat │
│ rejection │
│ to 3°C │
┌───────────┐ 5 km return │ seawater │
│ Return │◄───────────────────┴───────────┘
└─────┬─────┘
│
To pumps
Key differentiator: Servers remain on shore (accessible for GPU upgrades) while benefiting from passive ocean cooling - avoiding the serviceability limitation that caused Microsoft to discontinue Project Natick.
2. Critical Design Parameters¶
| Parameter | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Cooling capacity | 100 MW | Hyperscale AI data center |
| Working fluid | Supercritical CO2 | 85 bar, 10-40°C |
| Ocean temperature | 3°C | Labrador Current at 200m depth |
| Pipe configuration | 16 × 500mm steel-core | Parallel redundancy |
| Loop length | 10 km | 5 km out, 5 km return |
| Mass flow rate | 1,111 kg/s | ΔT = 30°C, Cp = 3.0 kJ/kg·K |
| Pumping power | 200 kW | COP = 500 |
| PUE contribution | 0.002 | vs 0.18-0.25 for chillers |
3. Heat Transfer Analysis¶
3.1 Why sCO2?¶
| Property | Water | sCO2 (85 bar) | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viscosity | 1.0 mPa·s | 0.05 mPa·s | 20x lower pumping energy |
| Density | 1,000 kg/m³ | 600 kg/m³ | Reduced pipe stress |
| Heat transfer coef. | 5,000 W/m²·K | 12,000 W/m²·K | 2.4x better |
| Freeze point | 0°C | N/A at pressure | No antifreeze needed |
3.2 Heat Transfer Calculation¶
Limiting factor: Seawater-side natural convection (ho ≈ 500 W/m²·K)
Solution: External longitudinal fins (8 per pipe, 50mm height) - Surface area enhancement: 3× - Effective U-value: 24 W/m²·K
Required heat transfer area:
LMTD = ((40-3) - (10-3)) / ln(37/7) = 18.0°C
A = Q / (U × LMTD)
A = 100 MW / (24 W/m²·K × 18 K) = 231,500 m²
Provided: 16 × π × 0.5m × 10,000m = 251,000 m² ✓ (8% margin)
3.3 Pressure Drop¶
4. Pipe Design¶
4.1 Construction¶
| Layer | Material | Thickness | Function |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inner liner | HDPE | 10 mm | Corrosion barrier |
| Pressure core | Carbon steel (API 5L X52) | 25 mm | 100 bar containment |
| External fins | Carbon steel | 3mm × 50mm | Heat transfer |
| Outer coating | Fusion-bonded epoxy | 0.5 mm | Corrosion protection |
4.2 Pressure Verification¶
Hoop stress: σ = P × D / (2 × t)
= 10 MPa × 500mm / (2 × 25mm)
= 100 MPa
Steel yield (X52): 360 MPa
Safety factor: 3.6 ✓
4.3 Redundancy¶
- 16 parallel pipes allows continued operation if 4 pipes fail
- N+4 redundancy provides 99.9999% availability for pipe system
- Can isolate individual pipes for maintenance
5. Key Technical Risks¶
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| sCO2 leak (onshore) | Low | Medium | CO2 detection, ventilation, auto-shutdown |
| Pipe failure (subsea) | Very Low | Medium | Redundancy, fiber optic DTS monitoring |
| Seawater-side biofouling | Low | Low | Closed loop eliminates internal fouling |
| Pump failure | Medium | Low | N+1 pumps, VFD control |
| High ocean temperature | Very Low | Low | Design for 5°C max, 2°C margin |
Critical unknowns requiring validation:¶
- Fin efficiency in natural convection at seabed conditions
- Long-term steel/epoxy coating integrity at 200-400m depth
- sCO2 pump reliability at 85 bar continuous operation
- Installation feasibility for finned pipe (handling, burial)
6. Cost Summary¶
6.1 Capital Cost¶
| Item | Cost ($M) |
|---|---|
| Ocean piping (160 km) | 56.0 |
| Marine installation | 18.0 |
| Heat exchangers | 8.0 |
| Engineering & contingency | 29.0 |
| Other | 16.0 |
| Total | 127.0 |
Unit cost: $1,270/kW cooling capacity
6.2 Operating Cost¶
| Item | Annual ($M) |
|---|---|
| Electricity (pumping) | 0.12 |
| Maintenance | 2.5 |
| Insurance & inspections | 1.7 |
| Total | 4.4 |
6.3 Comparison to Alternatives¶
| System | CAPEX | Annual Energy | 10-Year TCO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air-cooled chiller | $60M | $15M | $210M |
| Water-cooled chiller | $70M | $11M | $180M |
| Ocean sCO2 | $127M | $0.1M | $171M |
Ocean sCO2 breaks even at year 6-8, then saves $10-15M annually.
7. Technology Readiness¶
| Component | TRL | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| sCO2 as working fluid | 7 | Proven in power cycle pilots |
| Subsea steel pipelines | 9 | Oil & gas standard |
| Shell & tube HX (Ti) | 9 | Industrial standard |
| Finned subsea pipe | 5 | Novel application |
| Integrated system | 4 | Requires pilot demonstration |
Recommendation: Conduct 1-5 MW pilot to validate system integration before committing to 100 MW build.
8. Comparison to Precedents¶
| Project | Approach | Result | Lesson for CCNL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Natick | Sealed underwater capsule | 8× lower failures, PUE 1.07 | Thermal performance validated |
| Discontinued 2024 | Serviceability matters | ||
| SWAC French Polynesia | Open-loop cold seawater | SCOP 25-26, operational | Deep cold water works |
| China Highlander | Underwater capsules | PUE 1.1, scaling up | Commercial viability proven |
| Oil & gas pipelines | sCO2 for EOR | 8,000+ km installed | Pipe technology mature |
CCNL advantage: Combines proven elements (shore-based DC, subsea pipes, cold water) in novel configuration that addresses limitations of prior approaches.
9. Validation Requirements¶
Before proceeding to full-scale, validate:
9.1 Desktop Studies¶
- Third-party thermal model verification
- Detailed FEED study by marine engineering firm
- sCO2 pump vendor engagement (Flowserve, Sulzer)
9.2 Physical Testing¶
- Finned pipe heat transfer testing in seawater tank
- sCO2 circulation loop (lab scale, 10-100 kW)
- Coating durability testing (accelerated marine exposure)
9.3 Pilot Project¶
- 1-5 MW demonstration system
- 12-month operational validation
- Performance vs model comparison
10. Conclusion¶
The ocean sCO2 cooling concept is technically feasible based on:
- Proven components: Subsea pipelines, sCO2 handling, shell & tube HX
- Favorable physics: 10-40°C sCO2 vs 3°C ocean = large LMTD
- Economic advantage: 50-100× lower pumping energy than chillers
- Environmental benefit: Zero water consumption, no thermal plume
Key uncertainties center on: 1. Finned pipe performance and installation 2. System integration at scale 3. Long-term reliability
Recommended next step: Commission third-party engineering review followed by 1-5 MW pilot project.
CCNL-TFS-2025-01 v1.0